Re: Wisconsin Towns Vote for Immediate US Military Withdrawal from Iraq

Bill Arkin has a teaser for tomorrow's Early Warning entry — "Current land warfare war gaming and planning for Iran — you read it here first" — that begs the question: with what army?

And Arkin's post yesterday [] is also worth reading:

"A war with Iran started purposefully or by accident, will be a mess. What is happening now though is not just an administration prudently preparing . . . against an aggressive and crazed state, it is also aggressive and crazed, driven by groupthink and a closed circle of bears."

"The public needs to know first, that this planning includes preemptive plans that the President could approve and implement with 12 hours notice. Congress should take notice of the fact that there is a real war plan — CONPLAN 8022 — and it could be implemented tomorrow."

"Second, the public needs to know that the train has left the station on bigger war planning, that a ground war — despite the Post claim yesterday that a land invasion 'is not contemplated' — is also being prepared. It is a real war plan; I've heard CONPLAN 1025."

"Like early 2002, the floodgates have opened and the stories about Iran war planning have started. Some claim Dick Cheney has already made the decision, some claim war this spring, some say the U.S. and Israel([search]) are collaborating."

As convincing a case made that this sort of higher level operational strke planning is taking place, until a few days ago I was under the impression that the center of gravity on Iran policy in the Bush administration's second term had largely moved away from the Pentagon to Foggy Bottom, with Cheney's office also influential. It's hard to see how the saber rattling can be any help to the internal and external opposition which State has increasingly been exploring ways to support. Posted by Laura at April 11, 2006

arkin from last may on CONPLAN 8022
A Global Strike Plan, With a Nuclear Option
Early last summer, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld approved a top secret "Interim Global Strike Alert Order" directing the military to assume and maintain readiness to attack hostile countries that are developing weapons of mass destruction, specifically Iran and North Korea.

Two months later, Lt. Gen. Bruce Carlson, commander of the 8th Air Force, told a reporter that his fleet of B-2 and B-52 bombers had changed its way of operating so that it could be ready to carry out such missions.

CONPLAN 8022 anticipates two different scenarios. The first is a response to a specific and imminent nuclear threat, say in North Korea. A quick-reaction, highly choreographed strike would combine pinpoint bombing with electronic warfare and cyberattacks to disable a North Korean response, with commandos operating deep in enemy territory, perhaps even to take possession of the nuclear device.

The second scenario involves a more generic attack on an adversary's WMD infrastructure. Assume, for argument's sake, that Iran announces it is mounting a crash program to build a nuclear weapon. A multidimensional bombing (kinetic) and cyberwarfare (non-kinetic) attack might seek to destroy Iran's program, and special forces would be deployed to disable or isolate underground facilities.

oh yea, there was this announcement today from iran
Iran Marks Step in Nuclear Development
TEHRAN, April 11 — President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said today that Iranian scientists had achieved the goal of enriching uranium for its nuclear power program and that the nation was determined to develop production on an industrial scale.

the anti-war mvmt best gets their collective asses planted in front of the capital bldg until the bush syndicate abdicates their rule

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Source: "Glances at History" (suppressed)

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